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US equities reached a record high as the S&P 500 hit its 52nd all-time peak, buoyed by a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and anticipation of key inflation data. The economy is growing steadily, with consumer spending leading, while the Federal Reserve is expected to implement gradual rate cuts as inflation moderates. Sectors like technology, utilities, and financials are projected to benefit from structural growth drivers, with the S&P 500 forecasted to reach 6,600 by the end of 2025.
15:48 27.11.2024
The Mozambique Central Bank has reduced its key interest rate to the lowest level since 2020. This decision reflects the bank's ongoing efforts to stimulate economic growth amid challenging conditions. The move is expected to impact borrowing costs and overall economic activity in the country.
Ecuador's president, Daniel Noboa, is losing the strong support he once enjoyed, just months before the upcoming election, impacting the outlook for the nation's bonds. After implementing tax increases and subsidy cuts, Ecuador's debt previously yielded over 68% returns, second only to Argentina among emerging markets, with a significant drop in risk premiums for investors.
The benchmark mortgage rate is expected to drop from 1.75% to 1.5%, potentially benefiting tenants with rent reductions. While a decrease may occur as early as December, experts suggest it is more likely by March, with landlords required to lower rents by 2.9% if the rate falls. However, not all tenants may see automatic reductions, and the rate is projected to stabilize at 1.5% until the end of 2026.
15:30 27.11.2024
JPMorgan has downgraded its recommendation on Brazilian stocks from overweight to neutral, citing increasing fiscal risks, including a growing budget deficit and potential higher interest rates. This follows a similar downgrade by Morgan Stanley, which moved to underweight on November 18 for the same reasons.
The Central Bank of Nigeria has implemented a cautious quarter-point interest rate hike, marking the smallest increase this year. This decision, part of a two-year tightening cycle that has seen rates more than double to 27.5%, has led some economists to speculate that the cycle may be coming to an end.
Stocks futures are stable as investors await the PCE price index report and personal income and consumer spending data, both due at 10 a.m. ET. The Fed is expected to continue gradually cutting interest rates, reflecting confidence in inflation and the labor market.SoftBank plans to invest $1.5 billion in OpenAI, allowing employees to sell shares, following a recent $6.6 billion financing round. Meanwhile, Constellation Brands faces potential challenges from proposed tariffs on Mexican goods, which could significantly increase costs.In entertainment, the Thanksgiving box office is projected to be the best in years, driven by the releases of "Moana 2," "Wicked," and "Gladiator II," potentially leading to record results for the holiday weekend.
The RBI faces a challenging balance between growth and inflation, with October CPI inflation rising to 6.21%, the highest in 14 months. Despite calls from government officials for a rate cut to stimulate credit and investment, recent data shows a paradoxical increase in credit growth, raising questions about the effectiveness of higher borrowing costs.
Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd.'s dollar bonds backed by government guarantees have seen their risk premium narrow to the lowest level since trading began in 2018. This shift reflects growing investor confidence, driven by South Africa's recent credit-outlook upgrade, enhanced operational stability, and ongoing state support.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists predict that the dominance of US equities will continue through 2025, driven by strong tech performance and an AI boom. This trend is supported by a resilient economy and the Federal Reserve's interest-rate cuts amid declining inflation, unless geopolitical and trade risks diminish.
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